L’École des cotes

Port Vale v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Port Vale 0–0 Barnsley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Prévision 34.24%2.92cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.13%34.24%34.19%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.712.702.8138.17%36.87%37.04%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.46%2.67cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -2.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.56%37.48%37.44%38.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.61%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.849%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.43%28.29%28.37%30.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.4334.72%30.51%30.30%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.23%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:10
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:20
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 18:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 18:10
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 18:10
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:28
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:10
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:09
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:09
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:20
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:20
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:20
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:59
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -9.96%E -3.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -18.48%E -6.42%K -9.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-14 18:19
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-04-14 18:30