La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Port Vale v Barnsley
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Port Vale (Casa)
Previsione 34.24%2.92quota equa
EV -3.80%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.81
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.13%34.24%34.19%34.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.712.702.8138.17%36.87%37.04%35.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Barnsley (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.46%2.67quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.56%37.48%37.44%38.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.61%40.82%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.31%3.53quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -0.849%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.43%28.29%28.37%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.283.303.4334.72%30.51%30.30%29.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.23%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 18:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -9.96%E -3.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -18.48%E -6.42%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |