Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Port Vale v Barnsley

Início: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Port Vale 0–0 Barnsley

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Port Vale (Local)

Previsão 34.24%2.92odd justa
EV -3.80%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.13%34.24%34.19%34.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.712.702.8138.17%36.87%37.04%35.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barnsley (Visitante)

Previsão 37.46%2.67odd justa
EV -4.48%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.56%37.48%37.44%38.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.61%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.31%3.53odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -0.849%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.43%28.29%28.37%30.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.283.303.4334.72%30.51%30.30%29.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Port Vale (Local): 34.24%; Barnsley (Visitante): 37.46%; Empate: 28.31%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.43, com valor esperado de -2.91%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.23%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:10
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 18:10
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:28
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:09
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.19%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:09
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -8.97%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 18:20
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:20
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:20
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.56%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:59
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -9.96%E -3.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -18.48%E -6.42%K -9.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-14 18:19
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.30%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-04-14 18:30