Школа коэффициентов

Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle

Начало: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Итог: Northampton Town 2–3 Plymouth Argyle

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Northampton Town (Хозяева)

Прогноз 13.61%7.35справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.07%
Преимущество +0.276%
Kelly +0.319%
Рост +0.007%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.35%13.70%13.45%16.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.736.817.007.5017.45%14.68%14.29%13.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Plymouth Argyle (Гости)

Прогноз 68.61%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.95%
Преимущество -2.82%
Kelly -9.87%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.06%68.52%68.73%70.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.60%73.53%71.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 17.78%5.62справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.69%
Преимущество +1.12%
Kelly +1.34%
Рост +0.090%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.54%17.78%17.82%21.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.005.115.006.0025.00%19.57%20.00%16.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +6.69%E +1.12%K +1.34%G +0.090%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet5.73I 17.45%NM 16.37%EV -22.02%E -3.84%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.68%EV +6.34%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.081%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle6.59I 15.17%NM 14.36%EV -10.31%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV +4.91%E +0.833%K +1.00%G +0.049%5.7%2026-05-02 13:50
LowVig.ag6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:16
Marathon Bet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -3.37%E -0.475%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -1.31%E -0.236%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:00
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:15
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:15
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:25
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:39
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.21%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:30
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -12.90%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.52%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:15
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -28.87%E -7.22%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 13:56
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55