مدرسة الاحتمالات

Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Northampton Town 2–3 Plymouth Argyle

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Northampton Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 13.61%7.35السعر العادل
EV +2.07%
الأفضلية +0.276%
Kelly +0.319%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.35%13.70%13.45%16.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.736.817.007.5017.45%14.68%14.29%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Plymouth Argyle (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.61%1.46السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -2.82%
Kelly -9.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.06%68.52%68.73%70.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.60%73.53%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.78%5.62السعر العادل
EV +6.69%
الأفضلية +1.12%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.090%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.54%17.78%17.82%21.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.005.115.006.0025.00%19.57%20.00%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +6.69%E +1.12%K +1.34%G +0.090%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet5.73I 17.45%NM 16.37%EV -22.02%E -3.84%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.68%EV +6.34%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.081%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle6.59I 15.17%NM 14.36%EV -10.31%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV +4.91%E +0.833%K +1.00%G +0.049%5.7%2026-05-02 13:50
LowVig.ag6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:16
Marathon Bet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -3.37%E -0.475%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -1.31%E -0.236%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:00
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:15
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:15
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:25
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:39
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.21%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:30
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -12.90%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.52%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:15
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -28.87%E -7.22%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 13:56
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55