L’École des cotesFrançais
Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Northampton Town (Local)
Prévision 13.61%7.35cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.276%
Kelly +0.319%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.35%13.70%13.45%16.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.736.817.007.5017.45%14.68%14.29%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur)
Prévision 68.61%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -9.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%68.52%68.73%70.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.60%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.78%5.62cote équitable
EV +6.69%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.090%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.54%17.78%17.82%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.005.115.006.0025.00%19.57%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +6.69%E +1.12%K +1.34%G +0.090% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.37%EV -22.02%E -3.84%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.68%EV +6.34%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.081% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.36%EV -10.31%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV +4.91%E +0.833%K +1.00%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -3.37%E -0.475%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -1.31%E -0.236%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.21%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Neds | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| betfred_uk | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -12.90%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.52%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -28.87%E -7.22%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.30% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |