La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Northampton Town (Local)
Predicción 13.61%7.35momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.276%
Kelly +0.319%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.35%13.70%13.45%16.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.736.817.007.5017.45%14.68%14.29%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)
Predicción 68.61%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -9.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%68.52%68.73%70.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.60%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.78%5.62momio equitativo
EV +6.69%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.54%17.78%17.82%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.005.115.006.0025.00%19.57%20.00%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +6.69%E +1.12%K +1.34%G +0.090% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.37%EV -22.02%E -3.84%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.68%EV +6.34%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.081% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.36%EV -10.31%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV +4.91%E +0.833%K +1.00%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -3.37%E -0.475%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -1.31%E -0.236%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.21%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Neds | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| betfred_uk | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -12.90%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.52%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -28.87%E -7.22%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.30% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |