La scuola delle quote

Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Northampton Town 2–3 Plymouth Argyle

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Northampton Town (Casa)

Previsione 13.61%7.35quota equa
EV +2.07%
Vantaggio +0.276%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.35%13.70%13.45%16.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.736.817.007.5017.45%14.68%14.29%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Plymouth Argyle (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.61%1.46quota equa
EV -3.95%
Vantaggio -2.82%
Kelly -9.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.06%68.52%68.73%70.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.60%73.53%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.78%5.62quota equa
EV +6.69%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.54%17.78%17.82%21.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.005.115.006.0025.00%19.57%20.00%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +6.69%E +1.12%K +1.34%G +0.090%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet5.73I 17.45%NM 16.37%EV -22.02%E -3.84%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.68%EV +6.34%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.081%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle6.59I 15.17%NM 14.36%EV -10.31%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.60%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV +4.91%E +0.833%K +1.00%G +0.049%5.7%2026-05-02 13:50
LowVig.ag6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.17%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.421%E -0.075%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:16
Marathon Bet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -3.37%E -0.475%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -1.31%E -0.236%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:00
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:15
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.20%E -0.400%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:15
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -9.44%E -7.15%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.76%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:25
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.01%E -4.38%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:39
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.21%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.64%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.53%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:30
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.06%E -6.02%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -12.90%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.52%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.09%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:15
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV +0.711%E +0.096%K +0.111%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.98%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -12.87%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:25
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -14.65%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.54%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.38%E -5.47%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -16.42%E -3.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -8.75%E -6.58%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -28.87%E -7.22%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 13:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55