Школа коэффициентов

Mansfield Town v Cardiff City

Начало: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Итог: Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff City

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mansfield Town (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.40%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.83%
Преимущество +1.62%
Kelly +2.24%
Рост +0.131%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.97%29.32%29.41%30.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.88%31.25%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cardiff City (Гости)

Прогноз 47.16%2.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.80%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -3.65%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.04

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.60%47.27%47.08%50.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.811.941.952.0455.25%51.61%51.28%49.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.45%4.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.53%
Преимущество -0.364%
Kelly -0.478%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.09%23.42%23.52%25.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.923.904.2030.30%25.50%25.64%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.69%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -8.28%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -2.70%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.56%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV -5.98%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -22.63%E -6.86%K -9.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -15.34%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-05-02 13:45