L’École des cotesMansfield Town v Cardiff City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV +5.83%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.24%
Croissance +0.131%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%29.32%29.41%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.88%31.25%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cardiff City (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.16%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.60%47.27%47.08%50.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.941.952.0455.25%51.61%51.28%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.45%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.09%23.42%23.52%25.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.923.904.2030.30%25.50%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.69%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -8.28%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -2.70%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.56%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV -5.98%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -22.63%E -6.86%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -15.34%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |