Szkoła Kursów

Mansfield Town v Cardiff City

Początek: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff City

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mansfield Town (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 29.40%3.40kurs godziwy
EV +5.83%
Przewaga +1.62%
Kelly +2.24%
Wzrost +0.131%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.97%29.32%29.41%30.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.88%31.25%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cardiff City (Goście)

Prognoza 47.16%2.12kurs godziwy
EV -3.80%
Przewaga -1.86%
Kelly -3.65%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.04

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.60%47.27%47.08%50.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.811.941.952.0455.25%51.61%51.28%49.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.45%4.27kurs godziwy
EV -1.53%
Przewaga -0.364%
Kelly -0.478%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.09%23.42%23.52%25.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.923.904.2030.30%25.50%25.64%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.69%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -8.28%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -2.70%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.56%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV -5.98%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -22.63%E -6.86%K -9.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -15.34%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-05-02 13:45