مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mansfield Town v Cardiff City

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mansfield Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.40%3.40السعر العادل
EV +5.83%
الأفضلية +1.62%
Kelly +2.24%
النمو +0.131%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.97%29.32%29.41%30.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.88%31.25%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cardiff City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.16%2.12السعر العادل
EV -3.80%
الأفضلية -1.86%
Kelly -3.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.60%47.27%47.08%50.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.941.952.0455.25%51.61%51.28%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.45%4.27السعر العادل
EV -1.53%
الأفضلية -0.364%
Kelly -0.478%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.09%23.42%23.52%25.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.923.904.2030.30%25.50%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.69%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -8.28%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -2.70%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.56%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV -5.98%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -22.63%E -6.86%K -9.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -15.34%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-05-02 13:45