Die Schule der Quoten

Mansfield Town v Cardiff City

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff City

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mansfield Town (Heim)

Prognose 29.40%3.40faire Quote
EV +5.83%
Vorteil +1.62%
Kelly +2.24%
Wachstum +0.131%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.97%29.32%29.41%30.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.88%31.25%27.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Cardiff City (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.16%2.12faire Quote
EV -3.80%
Vorteil -1.86%
Kelly -3.65%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.60%47.27%47.08%50.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.811.941.952.0455.25%51.61%51.28%49.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.45%4.27faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.364%
Kelly -0.478%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.09%23.42%23.52%25.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.923.904.2030.30%25.50%25.64%23.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.69%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -8.28%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -2.70%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.56%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV -5.98%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:43
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -22.63%E -6.86%K -9.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -15.34%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-05-02 13:45