La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mansfield Town v Cardiff City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mansfield Town (Local)
Predicción 29.40%3.40momio equitativo
EV +5.83%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +2.24%
Crecimiento +0.131%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%29.32%29.41%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.203.6034.72%30.88%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cardiff City (Visitante)
Predicción 47.16%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.60%47.27%47.08%50.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.941.952.0455.25%51.61%51.28%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.45%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.478%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.09%23.42%23.52%25.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.923.904.2030.30%25.50%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +5.83%E +1.62%K +2.24%G +0.131% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV +4.36%E +1.23%K +1.71%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV +2.89%E +0.826%K +1.16%G +0.033% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -14.65%E -8.09%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.69%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -3.87%E -0.945%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -8.28%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -2.70%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.56%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV -5.98%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.39%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -22.63%E -6.86%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -15.34%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |