Language:English
Luton v Reading
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luton (Local)
Prediction 53.21%1.88fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.56%53.31%53.20%55.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.741.8260.61%57.16%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reading (Visit)
Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.477%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.40%21.66%21.72%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.244.204.6925.32%23.58%23.81%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV +0.885%
Edge +0.220%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.04%25.08%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.693.704.0231.25%27.13%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luton (Local): 53.21%; Reading (Visit): 21.70%; Draw: 25.10%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.72%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.44%EV +1.76%E +0.376%K +0.477%G +0.008% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +0.885%E +0.220%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -0.191%E -0.042%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.62%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.14%E -6.67%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.69%E -6.15%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |