مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Luton v Reading
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Luton (المضيف)
التنبؤ 53.21%1.88السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -3.86%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.56%53.31%53.20%55.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.751.741.8260.61%57.16%57.47%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Reading (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.70%4.61السعر العادل
EV +1.76%
الأفضلية +0.376%
Kelly +0.477%
النمو +0.008%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.69
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.40%21.66%21.72%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.244.204.6925.32%23.58%23.81%21.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 25.10%3.98السعر العادل
EV +0.885%
الأفضلية +0.220%
Kelly +0.293%
النمو +0.003%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.02
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.84%25.04%25.08%26.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.693.704.0231.25%27.13%27.03%24.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.72%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.44%EV +1.76%E +0.376%K +0.477%G +0.008% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +0.885%E +0.220%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -0.191%E -0.042%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.62%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.14%E -6.67%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.69%E -6.15%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |