L’École des cotesFrançais
Luton v Reading
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luton (Local)
Prévision 53.21%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.56%53.31%53.20%55.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.741.8260.61%57.16%57.47%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Reading (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.70%4.61cote équitable
EV +1.76%
Avantage +0.376%
Kelly +0.477%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.40%21.66%21.72%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.244.204.6925.32%23.58%23.81%21.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.10%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.885%
Avantage +0.220%
Kelly +0.293%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%25.04%25.08%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.693.704.0231.25%27.13%27.03%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.72%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.44%EV +1.76%E +0.376%K +0.477%G +0.008% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +0.885%E +0.220%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -0.191%E -0.042%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.62%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.14%E -6.67%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.69%E -6.15%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |