La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luton v Reading
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 53.21%1.88momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.56%53.31%53.20%55.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.751.741.8260.61%57.16%57.47%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Reading (Visitante)
Predicción 21.70%4.61momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.477%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.40%21.66%21.72%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.244.204.6925.32%23.58%23.81%21.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.10%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.885%
Ventaja +0.220%
Kelly +0.293%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.04%25.08%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.693.704.0231.25%27.13%27.03%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.72%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.44%EV +1.76%E +0.376%K +0.477%G +0.008% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +0.885%E +0.220%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -0.191%E -0.042%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.62%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.14%E -6.67%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.69%E -6.15%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |