A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Luton v Reading
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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Luton (Local)
Previsão 53.21%1.88odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.56%53.31%53.20%55.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.751.741.8260.61%57.16%57.47%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Reading (Visitante)
Previsão 21.70%4.61odd justa
EV +1.76%
Vantagem +0.376%
Kelly +0.477%
Crescimento +0.008%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.69
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.40%21.66%21.72%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.244.204.6925.32%23.58%23.81%21.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 25.10%3.98odd justa
EV +0.885%
Vantagem +0.220%
Kelly +0.293%
Crescimento +0.003%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%25.04%25.08%26.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.693.704.0231.25%27.13%27.03%24.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.72%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.44%EV +1.76%E +0.376%K +0.477%G +0.008% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +0.885%E +0.220%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -0.191%E -0.042%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.45%E -0.774%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.62%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -6.05%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.79%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.26%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.55%E -5.62%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.95%E -4.60%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.48%E -4.93%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.30%EV -9.74%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.00%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.14%E -6.67%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.69%E -6.15%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -14.29%E -3.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |