Language:English
Luton v Notts County
Head to Head
Luton (Local)
Prediction 57.76%1.73fair odd
EV -6.43%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -10.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%57.70%57.75%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.611.6264.52%62.41%62.11%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV -0.570%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.88%18.92%18.96%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.904.905.2521.28%20.40%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.56%23.38%23.29%24.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.954.004.2026.67%25.33%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luton (Local): 57.76%; Notts County (Visit): 18.94%; Draw: 23.30%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.25, with an expected value of -0.570%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.13%E -0.507%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.24%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.57%EV -3.79%E -0.746%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.18%EV -5.16%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.46%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -7.20%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.29%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -7.20%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.29%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.45%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV -4.93%E -0.981%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.20%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.96%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.45%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.45%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.45%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.570%E -0.109%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.12%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -8.16%E -5.13%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -3.41%E -0.669%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.63%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.16%E -5.13%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.43%EV -8.74%E -5.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.99%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.12%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 19:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.79%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.47%E -6.76%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.62%E -3.36%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
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