语言:简体中文
Luton v Notts County
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Luton (主队)
预测 61.78%1.62公平赔率
EV -3.01%
优势 -1.91%
Kelly -5.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
59.40%61.65%61.76%63.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.32%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
Notts County (客队)
预测 16.32%6.13公平赔率
EV +2.51%
优势 +0.399%
Kelly +0.475%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 6.28
博彩公司预测分布
14.81%16.34%16.40%18.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.665.506.2820.00%17.66%18.18%15.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.90%4.57公平赔率
EV -1.46%
优势 -0.325%
Kelly -0.418%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.75%22.01%21.84%23.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.93%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Luton (主队)：61.78%；Notts County (客队)：16.32%；平局：21.90%。 对于“Notts County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.13。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.28，对应+2.51%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +2.51%E +0.399%K +0.475%G +0.012% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.33%EV -1.68%E -0.374%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.42%E -7.19%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.25%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.33%E -0.918%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.03%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -4.75%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -14.30%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.35% | -0.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |