StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Luton v Notts County

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Endstand: Luton 2–2 Notts County

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Luton (Heim)

Prognose 61.78%1.62faire Quote
EV -3.01%
Vorteil -1.91%
Kelly -5.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.40%61.65%61.76%63.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.32%66.67%63.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.32%6.13faire Quote
EV +2.51%
Vorteil +0.399%
Kelly +0.475%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.81%16.34%16.40%18.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.665.506.2820.00%17.66%18.18%15.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.90%4.57faire Quote
EV -1.46%
Vorteil -0.325%
Kelly -0.418%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.75%22.01%21.84%23.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.93%23.81%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luton (Heim): 61.78%; Notts County (Auswärts): 16.32%; Unentschieden: 21.90%. Für Notts County (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.13. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.28 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.51%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +2.51%E +0.399%K +0.475%G +0.012%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.33%EV -1.68%E -0.374%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:14
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.42%E -7.19%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.25%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:18
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:13
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:15
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.33%E -0.918%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.03%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -4.75%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:14
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:15
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:25
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -14.30%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:05
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 11:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.35%-0.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%2.4%2026-08-22 11:25