Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luton v Notts County

Inizio: 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Finale: Luton 2–2 Notts County

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luton (Casa)

Previsione 61.78%1.62quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -5.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.40%61.65%61.76%63.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.32%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Notts County (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.32%6.13quota equa
EV +2.51%
Vantaggio +0.399%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.81%16.34%16.40%18.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.665.506.2820.00%17.66%18.18%15.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.90%4.57quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.325%
Kelly -0.418%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.75%22.01%21.84%23.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.93%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luton (Casa): 61.78%; Notts County (Trasferta): 16.32%; Pareggio: 21.90%. Per Notts County (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.13. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.28, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.51%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +2.51%E +0.399%K +0.475%G +0.012%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.33%EV -1.68%E -0.374%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:14
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.42%E -7.19%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.25%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:18
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:13
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:15
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.33%E -0.918%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.03%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -4.75%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:14
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:15
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:25
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -14.30%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:05
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.35%-0.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%2.4%2026-08-22 11:25