Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Luton v Notts County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Score final : Luton 2–2 Notts County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Luton (Local)

Prévision 61.78%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -5.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.40%61.65%61.76%63.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.32%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.32%6.13cote équitable
EV +2.51%
Avantage +0.399%
Kelly +0.475%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 6.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.81%16.34%16.40%18.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.665.506.2820.00%17.66%18.18%15.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.90%4.57cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%22.01%21.84%23.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.93%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luton (Local) : 61.78% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 16.32% ; Match nul : 21.90%. Pour Notts County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.13. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.28, soit une espérance positive de +2.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +2.51%E +0.399%K +0.475%G +0.012%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.33%EV -1.68%E -0.374%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:14
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.42%E -7.19%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV +1.20%E +0.194%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.25%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:18
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:13
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.06%E -0.344%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.65%E -0.830%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.69%E -0.626%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.70%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:15
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.33%E -0.918%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.03%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -4.75%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:15
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.14%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.46%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:14
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.71%E -4.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:15
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.02%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:25
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.22%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.95%E -5.33%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.86%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -14.30%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:05
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.33%E -4.89%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.35%-0.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%2.4%2026-08-22 11:25