Language:English
Luton v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luton (Local)
Prediction 56.05%1.78fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.02%56.07%57.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7364.10%60.70%60.42%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 20.65%4.84fair odd
EV +3.26%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +0.815%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%20.66%20.63%22.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.678%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%23.32%23.30%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.974.004.2026.32%25.16%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luton (Local): 56.05%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 20.65%; Draw: 23.29%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.63%E -5.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -0.870%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19%EV -2.52%E -0.534%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.08%EV -3.80%E -0.920%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 05:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.65%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 06:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.74%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |