语言:简体中文
Luton v Leyton Orient
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Luton (主队)
预测 56.05%1.78公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -4.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.73
博彩公司预测分布
54.67%56.02%56.07%57.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.651.651.7364.10%60.70%60.42%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
Leyton Orient (客队)
预测 20.65%4.84公平赔率
EV +3.26%
优势 +0.652%
Kelly +0.815%
增长率 +0.027%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.74%20.66%20.63%22.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.29%4.29公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -0.678%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.09%23.32%23.30%24.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.803.974.004.2026.32%25.16%25.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Luton (主队)：56.05%；Leyton Orient (客队)：20.65%；平局：23.29%。 对于“Leyton Orient (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.84。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.00，对应+3.26%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.63%E -5.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -0.870%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19%EV -2.52%E -0.534%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.08%EV -3.80%E -0.920%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 05:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.65%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 06:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.74%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |