默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Luton v Leyton Orient

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — League 1

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Luton (主队)

预测 57.60%1.74公平赔率
EV -4.96%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -7.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
55.95%57.44%57.52%58.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.611.621.6564.52%62.00%61.73%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Leyton Orient (客队)

预测 19.13%5.23公平赔率
EV -4.33%
优势 -0.866%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.54%19.10%19.24%19.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.604.824.755.0021.74%20.74%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.26%4.30公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -0.716%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.56%23.46%23.24%24.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.753.954.004.2026.67%25.33%25.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Luton (主队):57.60%;Leyton Orient (客队):19.13%;平局:23.26%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为4.20,期望值为-2.29%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -4.96%E -3.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 19:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -4.96%E -3.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -4.96%E -3.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -4.96%E -3.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 19:00
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.38%EV -7.58%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.52%EV -7.41%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:39
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.29%E -0.546%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -7.41%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 17:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.26%E -4.51%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -8.11%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.41%E -5.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:43
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.99%E -5.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.57%E -6.09%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 17:39
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.72%E -6.91%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 17:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 34.38%1.09I 91.74%NM 32.81%1.09I 91.74%NM 32.81%179.6%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 34.38%1.09I 91.74%NM 32.81%1.09I 91.74%NM 32.81%179.6%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:40