Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Luton v Leyton Orient

Początek: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Luton 1–1 Leyton Orient

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Luton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.05%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -3.02%
Przewaga -1.75%
Kelly -4.14%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.67%56.02%56.07%57.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.651.651.7364.10%60.70%60.42%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Leyton Orient (Goście)

Prognoza 20.65%4.84kurs godziwy
EV +3.26%
Przewaga +0.652%
Kelly +0.815%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.74%20.66%20.63%22.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.29%4.29kurs godziwy
EV -2.17%
Przewaga -0.517%
Kelly -0.678%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.09%23.32%23.30%24.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.803.974.004.2026.32%25.16%25.00%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luton (Gospodarze): 56.05%; Leyton Orient (Goście): 20.65%; Remis: 23.29%. Dla wyniku Leyton Orient (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.84. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.26%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:30
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.63%E -5.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -0.870%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19%EV -2.52%E -0.534%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.08%EV -3.80%E -0.920%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 20:50
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 05:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.65%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 04:35
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 19:15
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 05:14
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 06:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:04
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.74%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:05
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:15
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 19:15
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-04 14:30