StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luton v Leyton Orient

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Luton 1–1 Leyton Orient

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luton (Hemma)

Prognos 56.05%1.78rättvist odds
EV -3.02%
Fördel -1.75%
Kelly -4.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.67%56.02%56.07%57.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.651.651.7364.10%60.70%60.42%57.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Borta)

Prognos 20.65%4.84rättvist odds
EV +3.26%
Fördel +0.652%
Kelly +0.815%
Tillväxt +0.027%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.74%20.66%20.63%22.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.29%4.29rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -0.517%
Kelly -0.678%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.09%23.32%23.30%24.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.803.974.004.2026.32%25.16%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Luton (Hemma): 56.05%; Leyton Orient (Borta): 20.65%; Oavgjort: 23.29%. För Leyton Orient (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.84. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.26%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:30
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:35
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.63%E -5.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -0.870%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19%EV -2.52%E -0.534%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.08%EV -3.80%E -0.920%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 20:50
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 05:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.65%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 04:35
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 19:15
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 05:14
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 06:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:04
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.74%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 14:05
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:15
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 19:15
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-04 14:30