Idioma:Español
Luton v Leyton Orient
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 56.05%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.02%56.07%57.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.7364.10%60.70%60.42%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leyton Orient (Visitante)
Predicción 20.65%4.84momio equitativo
EV +3.26%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.815%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.74%20.66%20.63%22.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.29%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -0.678%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.09%23.32%23.30%24.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.803.974.004.2026.32%25.16%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Luton (Local): 56.05%; Leyton Orient (Visitante): 20.65%; Empate: 23.29%. Para Leyton Orient (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.84. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.63%E -5.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -0.870%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19%EV -2.52%E -0.534%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.08%EV -3.80%E -0.920%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.43%E -7.24%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.99%E -7.64%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -12.55%E -8.05%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 05:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.65%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -7.29%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.07%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.13%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.32%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 06:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.74%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.20%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.17%E -0.517%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |