Language:English
Cardiff City v Lincoln City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cardiff City (Local)
Prediction 45.19%2.21fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.06%45.10%45.12%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.052.1852.36%48.23%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lincoln City (Visit)
Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +0.842%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.21%27.21%27.18%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.303.7732.26%29.77%30.30%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%27.69%27.69%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.05%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cardiff City (Local): 45.19%; Lincoln City (Visit): 27.14%; Draw: 27.66%. For Lincoln City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV +2.33%E +0.618%K +0.842%G +0.020% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.56%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV +0.703%E +0.189%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -3.37%E -0.946%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.16%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.417%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.56%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.19%E -1.98%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.01%E -5.67%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |