Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cardiff City v Lincoln City

Inizio: 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cardiff City (Casa)

Previsione 45.19%2.21quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.677%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.06%45.10%45.12%46.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.072.052.1852.36%48.23%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lincoln City (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.14%3.68quota equa
EV +2.33%
Vantaggio +0.618%
Kelly +0.842%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.21%27.21%27.18%29.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.363.303.7732.26%29.77%30.30%26.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.66%3.62quota equa
EV -0.417%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.91%27.69%27.69%29.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.05%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cardiff City (Casa): 45.19%; Lincoln City (Trasferta): 27.14%; Pareggio: 27.66%. Per Lincoln City (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.68. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.77, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.33%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV +2.33%E +0.618%K +0.842%G +0.020%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 12:20
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.56%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV +0.703%E +0.189%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -3.37%E -0.946%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.16%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:19
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 12:20
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:19
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:18
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 12:19
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 12:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:19
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 12:19
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.417%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.56%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 12:20
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 12:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 12:10
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.19%E -1.98%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.01%E -5.67%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-07 12:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:09
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:09
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:09
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:09
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 12:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-03-07 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%0.4%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%0.4%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-07 12:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-03-07 12:20