La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cardiff City v Lincoln City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cardiff City (Local)
Predicción 45.19%2.21momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.06%45.10%45.12%46.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.052.1852.36%48.23%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lincoln City (Visitante)
Predicción 27.14%3.68momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.618%
Kelly +0.842%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.21%27.21%27.18%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.303.7732.26%29.77%30.30%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.66%3.62momio equitativo
EV -0.417%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.91%27.69%27.69%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.05%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV +2.33%E +0.618%K +0.842%G +0.020% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.56%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV +0.703%E +0.189%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -3.37%E -0.946%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.16%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.417%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.56%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.19%E -1.98%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.01%E -5.67%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |