L’École des cotesFrançais
Cardiff City v Lincoln City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cardiff City (Local)
Prévision 45.19%2.21cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.06%45.10%45.12%46.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.052.1852.36%48.23%48.78%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lincoln City (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.14%3.68cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.618%
Kelly +0.842%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 3.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.21%27.21%27.18%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.303.7732.26%29.77%30.30%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.66%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.417%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.91%27.69%27.69%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.05%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV +2.33%E +0.618%K +0.842%G +0.020% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.56%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV +0.703%E +0.189%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -3.37%E -0.946%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.16%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.417%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.56%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.19%E -1.98%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.01%E -5.67%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |