语言:简体中文
Cardiff City v Lincoln City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cardiff City (主队)
预测 45.19%2.21公平赔率
EV -1.48%
优势 -0.677%
Kelly -1.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.18
博彩公司预测分布
43.06%45.10%45.12%46.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.072.052.1852.36%48.23%48.78%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lincoln City (客队)
预测 27.14%3.68公平赔率
EV +2.33%
优势 +0.618%
Kelly +0.842%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 3.77
博彩公司预测分布
25.21%27.21%27.18%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.363.303.7732.26%29.77%30.30%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.66%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.417%
优势 -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.91%27.69%27.69%29.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.05%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cardiff City (主队)：45.19%；Lincoln City (客队)：27.14%；平局：27.66%。 对于“Lincoln City (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.68。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.77，对应+2.33%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.50%EV +2.33%E +0.618%K +0.842%G +0.020% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.56%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV +0.703%E +0.189%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -3.37%E -0.946%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.16%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.417%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.56%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.10%EV -5.12%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.19%E -1.98%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.01%E -5.67%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -1.48%E -0.677%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.80%E -3.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |