Language:English
Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 51.61%1.94fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.10%51.56%51.49%52.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.811.9157.80%54.88%55.10%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 21.03%4.76fair odd
EV -0.116%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.29%21.09%21.14%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.314.314.7525.32%23.22%23.17%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.36%3.66fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.36%27.37%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.5032.26%29.72%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 51.61%; Stevenage (Visit): 21.03%; Draw: 27.36%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.75, with an expected value of -0.116%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 10:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -0.958%E -0.203%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -7.06%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 17:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -3.27%E -0.711%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.116%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.19%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.22% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |