La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 51.61%1.94momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.741%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.10%51.56%51.49%52.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.821.811.9157.80%54.88%55.10%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Stevenage (Visitante)
Predicción 21.03%4.76momio equitativo
EV -0.116%
Ventaja -0.025%
Kelly -0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.29%21.09%21.14%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.314.314.7525.32%23.22%23.17%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.36%3.66momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%27.36%27.37%28.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.353.5032.26%29.72%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 10:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 10:14 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -0.958%E -0.203%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -7.06%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 17:29 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -3.27%E -0.711%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.116%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.19%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.22% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |