Die Schule der Quoten

Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Bolton Wanderers 5–1 Stevenage

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Heim)

Prognose 51.61%1.94faire Quote
EV -1.42%
Vorteil -0.741%
Kelly -1.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.10%51.56%51.49%52.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.731.821.811.9157.80%54.88%55.10%52.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Stevenage (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.03%4.76faire Quote
EV -0.116%
Vorteil -0.025%
Kelly -0.031%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.29%21.09%21.14%23.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.954.314.314.7525.32%23.22%23.17%21.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.36%3.66faire Quote
EV -4.25%
Vorteil -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.24%27.36%27.37%28.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.373.353.5032.26%29.72%29.85%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:14
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:20
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:14
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:10
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -0.958%E -0.203%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 17:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -7.06%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 15:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 17:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:30
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 14:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:30
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:19
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 15:30
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 15:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 14:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -3.27%E -0.711%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.116%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.19%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-14 18:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-04-14 18:30