La scuola delle quote

Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage

Inizio: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Finale: Bolton Wanderers 5–1 Stevenage

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Casa)

Previsione 51.61%1.94quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.741%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.10%51.56%51.49%52.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.821.811.9157.80%54.88%55.10%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stevenage (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.03%4.76quota equa
EV -0.116%
Vantaggio -0.025%
Kelly -0.031%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.29%21.09%21.14%23.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.314.314.7525.32%23.22%23.17%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.36%3.66quota equa
EV -4.25%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.24%27.36%27.37%28.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.353.5032.26%29.72%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:14
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:20
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:14
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:10
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -0.958%E -0.203%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 17:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -7.06%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 15:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 17:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:30
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 14:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:30
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:19
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 15:30
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 15:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 14:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -3.27%E -0.711%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.116%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.19%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-14 18:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-04-14 18:30