مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage

البداية: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bolton Wanderers 5–1 Stevenage

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.61%1.94السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.741%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.10%51.56%51.49%52.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.821.811.9157.80%54.88%55.10%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stevenage (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.03%4.76السعر العادل
EV -0.116%
الأفضلية -0.025%
Kelly -0.031%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.29%21.09%21.14%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.314.314.7525.32%23.22%23.17%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.36%3.66السعر العادل
EV -4.25%
الأفضلية -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.24%27.36%27.37%28.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.373.353.5032.26%29.72%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:14
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:20
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -1.42%E -0.741%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:14
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:10
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:10
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -0.958%E -0.203%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 17:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:10
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.94%E -4.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -7.06%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 15:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 17:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:30
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 14:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:30
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.63%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:19
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 15:30
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 15:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 14:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -8.13%E -4.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.17%E -0.248%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -3.27%E -0.711%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 15:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 18:19
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.116%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 18:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.19%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-14 18:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-04-14 18:30