Language:English
Bolton Wanderers v Doncaster Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 58.51%1.71fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.66%58.56%58.50%60.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.82%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Doncaster Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 19.09%5.24fair odd
EV +0.214%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.050%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.88%19.02%19.12%20.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.854.805.2522.22%20.61%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.40%4.46fair odd
EV +0.798%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.228%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.98%22.42%22.39%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.39%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 58.51%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 19.09%; Draw: 22.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.798%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV +0.798%E +0.177%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -0.549%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.68%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 03:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.714%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -7.27%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 03:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 12:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -19.36%E -5.38%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |