La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bolton Wanderers v Doncaster Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 58.51%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -5.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.66%58.56%58.50%60.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.82%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 19.09%5.24momio equitativo
EV +0.214%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.88%19.02%19.12%20.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.854.805.2522.22%20.61%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.40%4.46momio equitativo
EV +0.798%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.228%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.98%22.42%22.39%24.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.39%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV +0.798%E +0.177%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -0.549%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.68%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 03:49 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 12:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 17:55 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.714%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -7.27%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 14:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 03:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 12:13 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 18:09 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 12:39 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 12:39 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -19.36%E -5.38%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |