L’École des cotes

Bolton Wanderers v Doncaster Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 58.51%1.71cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -5.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.66%58.56%58.50%60.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.82%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.09%5.24cote équitable
EV +0.214%
Avantage +0.041%
Kelly +0.050%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.88%19.02%19.12%20.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.854.805.2522.22%20.61%20.83%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.40%4.46cote équitable
EV +0.798%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.228%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.98%22.42%22.39%24.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.39%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV +0.798%E +0.177%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-17 18:10
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -0.549%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.68%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 03:49
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:35
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 16:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:35
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 12:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:10
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 16:04
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.714%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -7.27%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:34
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 16:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 03:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 12:13
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:09
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 12:39
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 12:39
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 16:04
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 12:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 06:19
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -19.36%E -5.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-17 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-17 19:40