مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bolton Wanderers v Doncaster Rovers

البداية: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.51%1.71السعر العادل
EV -3.46%
الأفضلية -2.09%
Kelly -5.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.66%58.56%58.50%60.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.82%62.50%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Doncaster Rovers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.09%5.24السعر العادل
EV +0.214%
الأفضلية +0.041%
Kelly +0.050%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.88%19.02%19.12%20.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.854.805.2522.22%20.61%20.83%19.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.40%4.46السعر العادل
EV +0.798%
الأفضلية +0.177%
Kelly +0.228%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.98%22.42%22.39%24.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.39%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV +0.798%E +0.177%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-17 18:10
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -0.549%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.68%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 03:49
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:35
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 16:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:35
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 12:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:10
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 16:04
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.714%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -7.27%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:34
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 16:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 03:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 12:13
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:09
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 12:39
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 12:39
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 16:04
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 12:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 06:19
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -19.36%E -5.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-17 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-17 19:40