A Escola das Odds

Bolton Wanderers v Doncaster Rovers

Início: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Previsão 58.51%1.71odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -5.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.66%58.56%58.50%60.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.82%62.50%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 19.09%5.24odd justa
EV +0.214%
Vantagem +0.041%
Kelly +0.050%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.88%19.02%19.12%20.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.504.854.805.2522.22%20.61%20.83%19.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.40%4.46odd justa
EV +0.798%
Vantagem +0.177%
Kelly +0.228%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.98%22.42%22.39%24.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.39%24.39%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV +0.798%E +0.177%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-17 18:10
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.38%EV -0.549%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -1.44%E -0.328%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.68%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 03:49
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.46%E -2.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:35
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.214%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 16:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:35
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 12:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:10
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 16:04
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.51%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.714%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -7.27%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:34
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 16:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.19%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 03:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 12:13
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:09
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 12:39
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.33%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 12:39
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 16:04
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.38%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 12:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.31%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 06:19
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.28%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -10.48%E -6.85%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.10%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -19.36%E -5.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-17 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-17 19:40