The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Reading v Brentford

2026-09-15 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reading (Local)

Prediction 11.73%8.52fair odd
EV +5.59%
Edge +0.621%
Kelly +0.699%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.69%11.68%11.75%13.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.407.477.259.0015.63%13.39%13.79%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brentford (Visit)

Prediction 70.80%1.41fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -10.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.10%70.84%70.78%72.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.301.3680.00%75.88%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.47%5.72fair odd
EV -0.419%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.22%17.49%17.47%19.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.215.255.7020.83%19.21%19.05%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Reading (Local): 11.73%; Brentford (Visit): 70.80%; Draw: 17.47%. For Reading (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.52. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.00, producing a positive expected value of +5.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.69%EV +5.59%E +0.621%K +0.699%G +0.039%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +3.25%E +0.369%K +0.416%G +0.014%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.49%EV -4.42%E -3.28%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -0.419%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 14:05
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.42%E -3.28%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:14
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:00
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.23%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -0.419%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:50
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:00
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -8.49%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -9.15%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 16:45
Pinnacle🎯7.74I 12.92%NM 12.18%EV -9.19%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.87%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.86%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:00
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 14:00
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.81%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -9.15%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.05%EV -20.81%E -3.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.34%EV -10.09%E -7.94%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -23.74%E -3.65%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -11.50%E -9.20%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 22.62%1.08I 92.59%NM 54.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.34%71.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 22.62%1.08I 92.59%NM 54.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.34%71.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 22.16%1.04I 96.15%NM 54.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 22.87%74.9%2026-09-03 17:55