Language:English
Reading v Brentford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reading (Local)
Prediction 8.28%12.08fair odd
EV +20.06%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.298%
assuming max odds 14.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.52%8.28%8.30%10.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.0311.0014.5011.11%9.07%9.09%6.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brentford (Visit)
Prediction 77.79%1.29fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -11.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.31%77.73%77.68%80.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.03%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.93%7.18fair odd
EV +4.45%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.61%13.99%14.02%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 8.28%; Brentford (Visit): 77.79%; Draw: 13.93%. For Reading (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.08. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.06%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.298% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.31%E -3.51%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -20.61%E -3.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.06%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.298% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.31%E -3.51%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -20.61%E -3.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV +15.92%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.195% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -5.99%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 18:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +15.92%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.195% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -23.40%E -4.25%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.75%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.74%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.93%EV -4.74%E -0.693%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 18:51 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.10%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -5.30%E -0.779%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +3.50%E +0.280%K +0.304%G +0.011% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.03I 8.31%NM 7.94%EV -0.395%E -0.033%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.02%EV -11.42%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -0.644%E -0.054%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.16%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV +0.972%E +0.134%K +0.156%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.12%EV -2.71%E -0.231%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.86%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.02%EV +2.09%E +0.285%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.12%EV -2.71%E -0.231%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.86%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.02%EV +2.09%E +0.285%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.78%E -0.416%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.09%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -2.76%E -2.21%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -2.76%E -2.21%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.54%EV -9.76%E -8.41%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.28%EV -12.26%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -8.98%E -7.68%K -52.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.15%EV -10.54%E -9.16%K -70.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.06%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.87%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.95%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.95%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.98%E -7.68%K -52.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |