Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Reading v Brentford

2026-09-15 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Reading (Local)

Prévision 11.73%8.52cote équitable
EV +5.59%
Avantage +0.621%
Kelly +0.699%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.69%11.68%11.75%13.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.407.477.259.0015.63%13.39%13.79%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brentford (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.80%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -10.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.10%70.84%70.78%72.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.301.3680.00%75.88%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.47%5.72cote équitable
EV -0.419%
Avantage -0.074%
Kelly -0.089%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.22%17.49%17.47%19.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.215.255.7020.83%19.21%19.05%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Reading (Local) : 11.73% ; Brentford (Visiteur) : 70.80% ; Match nul : 17.47%. Pour Reading (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 8.52. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.00, pour une espérance positive de +5.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.69%EV +5.59%E +0.621%K +0.699%G +0.039%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +3.25%E +0.369%K +0.416%G +0.014%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.49%EV -4.42%E -3.28%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -0.419%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 14:05
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.42%E -3.28%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:14
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:00
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.23%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -0.419%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:50
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:00
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -8.49%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -9.15%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 16:45
Pinnacle🎯7.74I 12.92%NM 12.18%EV -9.19%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.87%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.86%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:00
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 14:00
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.81%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -9.15%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.05%EV -20.81%E -3.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.34%EV -10.09%E -7.94%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -23.74%E -3.65%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -11.50%E -9.20%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 22.62%1.08I 92.59%NM 54.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.34%71.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 22.62%1.08I 92.59%NM 54.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.34%71.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 22.16%1.04I 96.15%NM 54.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 22.87%74.9%2026-09-03 17:55