Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Reading v Brentford

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 19:00 UTC

Score final : Reading 1–2 Brentford

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Reading (Local)

Prévision 8.28%12.08cote équitable
EV +20.06%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.298%

avec la cote maximale 14.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.52%8.28%8.30%10.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.0311.0014.5011.11%9.07%9.09%6.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brentford (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.79%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -11.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.31%77.73%77.68%80.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.03%82.64%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 13.93%7.18cote équitable
EV +4.45%
Avantage +0.594%
Kelly +0.685%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.61%13.99%14.02%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Reading (Local) : 8.28% ; Brentford (Visiteur) : 77.79% ; Match nul : 13.93%. Pour Reading (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.08. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 14.50, soit une espérance positive de +20.06%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.06%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.298%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.31%E -3.51%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -20.61%E -3.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:15
NordicBet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.06%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.298%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.31%E -3.51%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -20.61%E -3.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV +15.92%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.195%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -5.99%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 18:52
PlayUp🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +15.92%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.195%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -23.40%E -4.25%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:40
Coolbet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.75%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:46
1xBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.74%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.93%EV -4.74%E -0.693%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.8%2026-09-15 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.10%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -5.30%E -0.779%K -0.913%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:11
SportsBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +3.50%E +0.280%K +0.304%G +0.011%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:20
Pinnacle🎯12.03I 8.31%NM 7.94%EV -0.395%E -0.033%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.02%EV -11.42%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -0.644%E -0.054%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.16%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV +0.972%E +0.134%K +0.156%G +0.002%6.2%2026-09-15 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 8.12%EV -2.71%E -0.231%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.86%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.02%EV +2.09%E +0.285%K +0.330%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-15 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 8.12%EV -2.71%E -0.231%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.86%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.02%EV +2.09%E +0.285%K +0.330%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-15 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.78%E -0.416%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.09%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -2.76%E -2.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -2.76%E -2.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:35
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:25
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:50
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.54%EV -9.76%E -8.41%K -61.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.28%EV -12.26%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -8.98%E -7.68%K -52.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.15%EV -10.54%E -9.16%K -70.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:46
BetMGM🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.06%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%4.8%2026-09-15 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.3%2026-09-15 18:30
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.3%2026-09-15 18:30
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:05
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.87%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:30
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.95%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.95%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:40
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.98%E -7.68%K -52.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:21
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55
Matchbook◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55