默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Reading v Brentford

开赛时间: 2026-09-15 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Reading 1–2 Brentford

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Reading (主队)

预测 8.28%12.08公平赔率
EV +20.06%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.298%

假设最高赔率为 14.50

博彩公司预测分布
6.52%8.28%8.30%10.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.0311.0014.5011.11%9.07%9.09%6.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

Brentford (客队)

预测 77.79%1.29公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -2.21%
Kelly -11.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
75.31%77.73%77.68%80.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.03%82.64%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 13.93%7.18公平赔率
EV +4.45%
优势 +0.594%
Kelly +0.685%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.61%13.99%14.02%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Reading (主队):8.28%;Brentford (客队):77.79%;平局:13.93%。 对于“Reading (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.08。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为14.50,对应+20.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.06%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.298%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.31%E -3.51%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -20.61%E -3.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:15
NordicBet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.06%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.298%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.89%EV -4.31%E -3.51%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.59%EV -20.61%E -3.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV +15.92%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.195%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -5.99%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 18:52
PlayUp🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +15.92%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.195%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -23.40%E -4.25%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:40
Coolbet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.75%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:46
1xBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.74%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.93%EV -4.74%E -0.693%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.8%2026-09-15 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +7.64%E +0.587%K +0.636%G +0.049%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.10%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -5.30%E -0.779%K -0.913%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:11
SportsBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +3.50%E +0.280%K +0.304%G +0.011%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:20
Pinnacle🎯12.03I 8.31%NM 7.94%EV -0.395%E -0.033%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.02%EV -11.42%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -0.644%E -0.054%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.16%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV +0.972%E +0.134%K +0.156%G +0.002%6.2%2026-09-15 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 8.12%EV -2.71%E -0.231%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.86%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.02%EV +2.09%E +0.285%K +0.330%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-15 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 8.12%EV -2.71%E -0.231%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.86%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.02%EV +2.09%E +0.285%K +0.330%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-15 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.78%E -0.416%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.09%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.4%2026-09-15 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -2.76%E -2.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -2.76%E -2.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:35
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -7.43%E -6.24%K -39.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:25
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:50
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.54%EV -9.76%E -8.41%K -61.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.28%EV -12.26%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -8.98%E -7.68%K -52.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -8.92%E -0.811%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.15%EV -10.54%E -9.16%K -70.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:46
BetMGM🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.06%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%4.8%2026-09-15 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.3%2026-09-15 18:30
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +4.45%E +0.594%K +0.685%G +0.031%5.3%2026-09-15 18:30
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:05
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.87%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:30
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.95%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.95%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -17.20%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -15.04%E -2.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.47%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:40
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -21.34%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.98%E -7.68%K -52.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:21
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.51%E -0.359%K -0.418%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -25.48%E -2.83%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.44%E -2.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 18:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55
Matchbook◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.16%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-09-15 18:55