Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading v Brentford

2026-09-15 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading (Local)

Previsão 11.73%8.52odd justa
EV +5.59%
Vantagem +0.621%
Kelly +0.699%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.69%11.68%11.75%13.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.407.477.259.0015.63%13.39%13.79%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brentford (Visitante)

Previsão 70.80%1.41odd justa
EV -3.72%
Vantagem -2.73%
Kelly -10.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.10%70.84%70.78%72.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.301.3680.00%75.88%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.47%5.72odd justa
EV -0.419%
Vantagem -0.074%
Kelly -0.089%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.22%17.49%17.47%19.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.215.255.7020.83%19.21%19.05%17.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Reading (Local): 11.73%; Brentford (Visitante): 70.80%; Empate: 17.47%. Para Reading (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 8.52. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 9.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +5.59%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.69%EV +5.59%E +0.621%K +0.699%G +0.039%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
1xBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +3.25%E +0.369%K +0.416%G +0.014%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.49%EV -4.42%E -3.28%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -0.419%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.274%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 14:05
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.42%E -3.28%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:14
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.91%E -0.711%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:00
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.23%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -0.419%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:50
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:00
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -8.49%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -9.15%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 16:45
Pinnacle🎯7.74I 12.92%NM 12.18%EV -9.19%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.87%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.95%EV -2.86%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:00
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 14:00
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.81%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -9.15%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.87%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.05%EV -20.81%E -3.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.34%EV -10.09%E -7.94%K -37.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -23.74%E -3.65%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -11.50%E -9.20%K -46.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -24.91%E -3.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.96%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 22.62%1.08I 92.59%NM 54.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.34%71.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 22.62%1.08I 92.59%NM 54.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.34%71.4%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 22.16%1.04I 96.15%NM 54.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 22.87%74.9%2026-09-03 17:55