Language:English
Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle United (Local)
Prediction 73.30%1.36fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -12.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.46%73.11%73.26%77.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.281.3184.75%79.25%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Bromwich Albion (Visit)
Prediction 10.57%9.46fair odd
EV +21.51%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.441%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.40%10.56%10.64%12.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.219.1611.5013.79%10.86%10.92%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.13%6.20fair odd
EV +8.90%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.138%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.31%16.33%16.10%19.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.785.806.7520.83%17.31%17.24%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle United (Local): 73.30%; West Bromwich Albion (Visit): 10.57%; Draw: 16.13%. For West Bromwich Albion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.46. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.27%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV +3.02%E +0.309%K +0.345%G +0.010% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.06%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +1.43%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.91%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -2.27%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.79%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.16I 10.92%NM 10.39%EV -3.22%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.81%EV -2.87%E -0.477%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -9.11%E -7.34%K -37.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.52%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.46%EV -5.54%E -0.620%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 18:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -12.88%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.19%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.76%E -2.77%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.44%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -23.40%E -3.23%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.17% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |