默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion

开赛时间: 2026-08-26 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Newcastle United 3–2 West Bromwich Albion

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Newcastle United (主队)

预测 73.30%1.36公平赔率
EV -3.98%
优势 -3.04%
Kelly -12.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.31

博彩公司预测分布
70.46%73.11%73.26%77.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.261.281.3184.75%79.25%78.13%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

West Bromwich Albion (客队)

预测 10.57%9.46公平赔率
EV +21.51%
优势 +1.87%
Kelly +2.05%
增长率 +0.441%

假设最高赔率为 11.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.40%10.56%10.64%12.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.259.219.1611.5013.79%10.86%10.92%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.13%6.20公平赔率
EV +8.90%
优势 +1.32%
Kelly +1.55%
增长率 +0.138%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
14.31%16.33%16.10%19.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.785.806.7520.83%17.31%17.24%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Newcastle United (主队):73.30%;West Bromwich Albion (客队):10.57%;平局:16.13%。 对于“West Bromwich Albion (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.46。 当时有23家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.50,对应+21.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138%3.5%2026-08-26 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +21.51%E +1.87%K +2.05%G +0.441%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +8.90%E +1.32%K +1.55%G +0.138%3.5%2026-08-26 18:29
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.37%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +10.94%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.126%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV +3.26%E +0.509%K +0.603%G +0.020%6.4%2026-08-26 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:36
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:37
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-26 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +0.836%E +0.134%K +0.159%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-26 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +5.66%E +0.566%K +0.629%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-26 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.27%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV +3.02%E +0.309%K +0.345%G +0.010%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:09
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.50%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV +2.49%E +0.257%K +0.286%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.06%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +1.43%E +0.149%K +0.167%G +0.002%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.91%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-26 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -11.31%E -9.34%K -53.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-26 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-26 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-26 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -13.51%E -11.45%K -75.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +0.376%E +0.040%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-26 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -2.27%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.79%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.16I 10.92%NM 10.39%EV -3.22%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.81%EV -2.87%E -0.477%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:34
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:13
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:09
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.19%EV -9.11%E -7.34%K -37.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.982%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 18:14
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -10.57%E -8.67%K -48.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -4.91%E -0.545%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-26 18:15
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.52%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.46%EV -5.54%E -0.620%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 18:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 18:14
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -10.19%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 18:23
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:15
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.30%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-26 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.84%E -8.00%K -42.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -15.47%E -1.93%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -12.88%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-26 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.19%EV -7.64%E -6.06%K -29.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.76%E -2.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-26 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.44%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -23.40%E -3.23%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-26 18:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.17%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-26 18:40